Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000335 0.000376 0.000420 0.000472 0.000531 0.000595 0.000672
2024-12-22 0.000246 0.000300 0.000365 0.000447 0.000551 0.000676 0.000841
2024-12-29 0.000204 0.000265 0.000342 0.000449 0.000592 0.000780 0.001048
2025-01-05 0.000182 0.000248 0.000338 0.000468 0.000654 0.000914 0.001311
2025-01-12 0.000156 0.000223 0.000315 0.000457 0.000671 0.000986 0.001496
2025-01-19 0.000133 0.000196 0.000288 0.000434 0.000665 0.001021 0.001626
2025-01-26 0.000121 0.000185 0.000281 0.000439 0.000699 0.001120 0.001871
2025-02-02 0.000115 0.000181 0.000284 0.000460 0.000762 0.001272 0.002227
2025-02-09 0.000105 0.000169 0.000272 0.000456 0.000781 0.001351 0.002467
2025-02-16 0.000097 0.000161 0.000267 0.000461 0.000816 0.001463 0.002782
2025-02-23 0.000089 0.000152 0.000257 0.000456 0.000833 0.001543 0.003048
2025-03-02 0.000083 0.000145 0.000251 0.000457 0.000860 0.001646 0.003378
2025-03-09 0.000078 0.000138 0.000245 0.000459 0.000891 0.001763 0.003767
2025-03-16 0.000069 0.000126 0.000229 0.000439 0.000876 0.001788 0.003962
2025-03-23 0.000065 0.000120 0.000224 0.000441 0.000907 0.001915 0.004415
2025-03-30 0.000063 0.000119 0.000227 0.000460 0.000976 0.002133 0.005129
2025-04-06 0.000058 0.000111 0.000217 0.000449 0.000980 0.002206 0.005497
2025-04-13 0.000052 0.000102 0.000202 0.000427 0.000953 0.002202 0.005664
2025-04-20 0.000049 0.000098 0.000199 0.000432 0.000989 0.002356 0.006290
2025-04-27 0.000048 0.000099 0.000203 0.000452 0.001068 0.002628 0.007304
2025-05-04 0.000045 0.000094 0.000197 0.000448 0.001083 0.002740 0.007878
2025-05-11 0.000043 0.000091 0.000195 0.000453 0.001123 0.002922 0.008707
2025-05-18 0.000041 0.000087 0.000190 0.000448 0.001137 0.003038 0.009354